Determinants of Re-Autocratization
An Empirical Analysis from 1996 to 2013
Keywords:breakdown of democracy, re-autocratization, regime change, transformation, transitions, logistic regression analysis
During the 1990s, research in the political sciences within the framework of the transition paradigm focused mainly on democratization and consolidation. However, in recent years a growing debate concerning the decline of democratic quality and breakdown of democracies has emerged. In this paper, the collapse of electoral democracies (referred to as re-autocratizations) will be operationalized using a minimalistic conception of democracy and analyzed globally in the timeframe from 1996 to 2013 using logistic regression. Significant effects for economic growth rates and governance performance are found.
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